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State market spotlight

California mortgage outlook

Live rates, housing stats and lender programs covering metros such as Los Angeles, San Francisco, and San Diego.

Last updated: 2025-11-17

Median home price

$778,000

Conforming loan limit

$766,550

High-cost / jumbo threshold

$766,551

California mortgage data baseline

Rates combine Freddie Mac PMMS trends with lender submissions focused on California, so underwriting context stays accurate.

Benchmarks refresh in the week following each PMMS and MBA release.

Compliance & privacy checklist

We surface anonymised lender ranges. Formal lock decisions still require disclosures from licensed loan officers.

Model your scenario

Calculate California payments with current rates

Blend local taxes, insurance and PMI expectations into a custom plan.

Launch calculator
Data source

State-Level Mortgage Rate Estimates

Provider: Blend of Freddie Mac PMMS, Zillow Market Stats, and local MLS data · Updated: 2025-11-17 · Refresh cadence: Weekly sync with PMMS release

Coverage: 12 largest U.S. housing markets by population · Notes: Synced with PMMS release Nov 14

View methodology

Primary datasets powering this state dashboard.

Mortgage data inputs

Freddie Mac PMMS

Weekly 30Y/15Y fixed averages anchor the headline rates we display.

View source

MBA Weekly Applications Survey

Provides spreads, points, and lock activity filtered for lenders active in the region.

View source

Federal Reserve H.15 / Treasury yields

Used to monitor MBS spreads and lock-strategy alerts relevant to California.

View source

Cadence: PMMS weekly, MBA weekly, H.15 daily.

Use local data with this four-step checklist.

California rate-planning workflow

1. Capture today’s baseline

Log statewide averages plus local taxes or insurance so payment estimates stay accurate.

2. Test lock/point scenarios

Model shorter lock periods, point buy-downs, and DPA stacking to see payment swings.

3. Compare active lenders

Stack credit unions, regionals, and digital lenders serving California to capture the spread.

4. Sync with your automation

Send the selected quote to mortgage/ROI/savings tools to schedule hedges, price changes, and reminders.

Case studies that connect local rates with planning tools.

How borrowers in California use this page

Pre-approval shopper

Balancing PMI thresholds and inventory crunch.

  • Timeline: Builder closing in California within 60 days while competition stays strong.
  • Plan: Use this dashboard to monitor spreads, then push the rate to the mortgage calculator for tax/insurance assumptions.
  • Result: Locked a 45-day commitment with lender credits and documented PMI removal at 80% LTV.
Estimate the payment

Refinance opportunist

Watching local credit unions vs. national banks.

  • Timeline: Needs sub-6.25% to break even on closing costs within two years.
  • Plan: Track averages here, then send the short list to the ROI calculator to decide how to deploy savings.
  • Result: Floated for two weeks, locked below target, and set AI reminders for future dips.
Stress-test in ROI calculator

{stateName} rate tracker

Conventional, government-backed and specialty programs updated daily.

Conventional loans
Loan typeRateAPRPoints
30-year fixed6.95%7.05%0.25
15-year fixed6.38%6.45%0.13
FHA loans
Loan typeRateAPRPoints
30-year fixed6.63%7.20%0.50
VA loans
Loan typeRateAPRPoints
30-year fixed6.50%6.68%0.00
Jumbo loans
Loan typeRateAPRPoints
30-year fixed6.88%6.95%0.38
15-year fixed6.25%6.35%0.25

{stateName} metro snapshots

Median prices, inventory and demand drivers across leading cities.

Los Angeles

Popular areas: Beverly Hills, Santa Monica, and Pasadena

$950,000
Very tight inventorySteady prices
Creative industriesInternational capitalTech hiring

San Francisco

Popular areas: Mission District, SoMa, and Noe Valley

$1,400,000
Very tight inventoryCooling demand
Tech hiringFinancial servicesInternational capital

San Diego

Popular areas: La Jolla, Del Mar, and Hillcrest

$850,000
Low inventoryGrowing demand
Military presenceTourism economyBiotech cluster

Local lender lineup

Credit unions, regional banks and digital shops serving {stateName}.

Statewide lender

Wells Fargo

Sample APR

7.08%

Min. down payment

Jumbo financingFirst-time buyersRefinancing experts
Large branch networkRelationship pricingLocal underwriting

Major metros

Chase Bank

Sample APR

7.00%

Min. down payment

Jumbo financingInvestment propertiesNew construction
Large branch networkFast digital process

Credit union

Golden 1 Credit Union

Sample APR

6.85%

Min. down payment

First-time buyersAffordable housing
Member benefitsLocal underwritingLow lender fees

Assistance & incentive programs

Down payment assistance, tax credits and forgivable loans available statewide.

Shared-equity support

CalHFA Dream For All

Visit program site

Benefits

  • Up to 20% down payment support
  • Deferred second mortgage
  • Below-market fixed rates

Eligibility

  • First-time buyers only
  • Income limits apply
  • Must be owner-occupied

Down payment assistance

Golden State Finance Authority

Visit program site

Benefits

  • 3%–10% down payment funds
  • Closing cost grants
  • Forgivable assistance

Eligibility

  • First-time buyers only
  • Homebuyer education required
  • Credit score 620+

Market watchouts

  • Inventory is tight in popular metros, expect bidding wars.
  • Cash and relocation buyers remain active; strengthen your offer terms.

Borrower tips

  • Layer state assistance with lender credits to cut upfront cash.
  • Lock rates once inspection clears to avoid surprise jumps.

Keep local rates, ROI, and savings plans aligned

Turn California insights into automated next steps

Export the selected quote to ROI or mortgage calculators to plan hedges, price increases, or cash reserves.

Illustrative rates only—verify with a licensed lender.

Important mortgage rate disclaimer

Displayed ranges blend PMMS, MBA submissions, and lender partners focused on California. Your final APR depends on credit, LTV, lock period, and points.

Markets move quickly. Float/lock strategies should include cushions for 0.125%-0.25% swings plus extension fees.

FutureValueCalc is not a lender. Always pair these benchmarks with Loan Estimate disclosures and local compliance guidance.