Skip to main content

State market spotlight

Texas mortgage outlook

Live rates, housing stats and lender programs covering metros such as Austin, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Houston.

Last updated: 2025-11-17

Median home price

$295,000

Conforming loan limit

$766,550

High-cost / jumbo threshold

$766,551

Texas mortgage data baseline

Rates combine Freddie Mac PMMS trends with lender submissions focused on Texas, so underwriting context stays accurate.

Benchmarks refresh in the week following each PMMS and MBA release.

Compliance & privacy checklist

We surface anonymised lender ranges. Formal lock decisions still require disclosures from licensed loan officers.

Model your scenario

Calculate Texas payments with current rates

Blend local taxes, insurance and PMI expectations into a custom plan.

Launch calculator
Data source

State-Level Mortgage Rate Estimates

Provider: Blend of Freddie Mac PMMS, Zillow Market Stats, and local MLS data · Updated: 2025-11-17 · Refresh cadence: Weekly sync with PMMS release

Coverage: 12 largest U.S. housing markets by population · Notes: Synced with PMMS release Nov 14

View methodology

Primary datasets powering this state dashboard.

Mortgage data inputs

Freddie Mac PMMS

Weekly 30Y/15Y fixed averages anchor the headline rates we display.

View source

MBA Weekly Applications Survey

Provides spreads, points, and lock activity filtered for lenders active in the region.

View source

Federal Reserve H.15 / Treasury yields

Used to monitor MBS spreads and lock-strategy alerts relevant to Texas.

View source

Cadence: PMMS weekly, MBA weekly, H.15 daily.

Use local data with this four-step checklist.

Texas rate-planning workflow

1. Capture today’s baseline

Log statewide averages plus local taxes or insurance so payment estimates stay accurate.

2. Test lock/point scenarios

Model shorter lock periods, point buy-downs, and DPA stacking to see payment swings.

3. Compare active lenders

Stack credit unions, regionals, and digital lenders serving Texas to capture the spread.

4. Sync with your automation

Send the selected quote to mortgage/ROI/savings tools to schedule hedges, price changes, and reminders.

Case studies that connect local rates with planning tools.

How borrowers in Texas use this page

Pre-approval shopper

Balancing PMI thresholds and inventory crunch.

  • Timeline: Builder closing in Texas within 60 days while competition stays strong.
  • Plan: Use this dashboard to monitor spreads, then push the rate to the mortgage calculator for tax/insurance assumptions.
  • Result: Locked a 45-day commitment with lender credits and documented PMI removal at 80% LTV.
Estimate the payment

Refinance opportunist

Watching local credit unions vs. national banks.

  • Timeline: Needs sub-6.25% to break even on closing costs within two years.
  • Plan: Track averages here, then send the short list to the ROI calculator to decide how to deploy savings.
  • Result: Floated for two weeks, locked below target, and set AI reminders for future dips.
Stress-test in ROI calculator

{stateName} rate tracker

Conventional, government-backed and specialty programs updated daily.

Conventional loans
Loan typeRateAPRPoints
30-year fixed6.75%6.85%0.25
15-year fixed6.13%6.20%0.13
FHA loans
Loan typeRateAPRPoints
30-year fixed6.38%6.95%0.38
VA loans
Loan typeRateAPRPoints
30-year fixed6.25%6.42%0.00
Jumbo loans
Loan typeRateAPRPoints
30-year fixed6.63%6.75%0.25
15-year fixed6.00%6.15%0.13

{stateName} metro snapshots

Median prices, inventory and demand drivers across leading cities.

Austin

Popular areas: Downtown, South Austin, and Round Rock

$525,000
Low inventoryGrowing demand
Tech hiringCreative industriesUniversity anchor

Dallas-Fort Worth

Popular areas: Plano, Frisco, and Southlake

$375,000
Balanced supplyGrowing demand
Logistics hubTech hiringFinancial services

Houston

Popular areas: The Heights, Sugar Land, and Woodlands

$285,000
Ample listingsGrowing demand
Energy sectorPort activityHealthcare expansion

Local lender lineup

Credit unions, regional banks and digital shops serving {stateName}.

Statewide lender

Bank of Texas

Sample APR

6.85%

Min. down payment

Jumbo financingInvestment properties
Large branch networkRelationship pricing

Major metros

Fairway Independent Mortgage

Sample APR

6.82%

Min. down payment

New constructionSelf-employed borrowersVA experts
Local underwritingFast digital process

Credit union

Navy Army Credit Union

Sample APR

6.70%

Min. down payment

First-time buyersAffordable housing
Member benefitsLow lender fees

Assistance & incentive programs

Down payment assistance, tax credits and forgivable loans available statewide.

State program

TDHCA My First Texas Home

Visit program site

Benefits

  • Below-market fixed rates
  • 3%–10% down payment funds

Eligibility

  • First-time buyers only
  • Income limits apply
  • Homebuyer education required

Down payment assistance

Texas Heroes Program

Visit program site

Benefits

  • 3%–10% down payment funds
  • Closing cost grants

Eligibility

  • Frontline workers eligible
  • Must be owner-occupied

Market watchouts

  • Budget for higher property taxes in urban counties.
  • Coastal markets face stricter climate and flood underwriting.

Borrower tips

  • Lock rates once inspection clears to avoid surprise jumps.
  • Layer state assistance with lender credits to cut upfront cash.

Keep local rates, ROI, and savings plans aligned

Turn Texas insights into automated next steps

Export the selected quote to ROI or mortgage calculators to plan hedges, price increases, or cash reserves.

Illustrative rates only—verify with a licensed lender.

Important mortgage rate disclaimer

Displayed ranges blend PMMS, MBA submissions, and lender partners focused on Texas. Your final APR depends on credit, LTV, lock period, and points.

Markets move quickly. Float/lock strategies should include cushions for 0.125%-0.25% swings plus extension fees.

FutureValueCalc is not a lender. Always pair these benchmarks with Loan Estimate disclosures and local compliance guidance.